Historian and Author Tom Perry's thoughts on history and anything that comes to mind.
Thursday, March 3, 2016
Voting For President in Patrick County Virginia
was the last time a Democratic Presidential Candidate won Patrick County?
might surprise some to know that it was Jimmy Carter in 1976 and he just barely
won the county beating President Gerald Ford 2,740 to 2, 349 out of 5,377 votes
cast in the bicentennial year of our nation. I could not vote in that election,
but I started voting in the next election in 1980. I am 5-4 voting for winning
candidates since then and with the recent primary election I did a little
research just for fun to see historically how my home county has voted in my
voting lifetime and a little beyond.
For most of my lifetime, Virginia has been a sure thing
usually for the most conservative candidate until Barrack Obama changed the
scenario winning Virginia in 2008 and 2012, but not Patrick County, where got
shellacked 11,113 to 5,296 in those two elections. The President should not
feel bad about it though because in my lifetime only two Democrats have won The
Free State of Patrick, Carter as previously mentioned and Lyndon Johnson, I
believe, in 1964.
really surprised me when Vice-President Joe Biden showed up in the county seat
to spend time at the Coffee Break during the last election because he knew his
ticket had no chance of winning Patrick County. Somethings are predictable and that
is often elections. For instance, it is almost impossible for a Republican
candidate to win the office without winning the state of Ohio. It is just
something that historically always happens.
go back to study all this thanks to the internet and the Virginia Board of
Elections website where you can look at past elections as a way to predict
future elections. I can almost guarantee the reader that the Republican
candidate no matter who he is will get around 5,500 votes and the Democrat
candidate no matter who she is will get around 2,500 out of around 8,250 votes.
Virginia will be decided in 2016 probably in one county in Northern Virginia
and perhaps another county in the Tidewater as their populations are large and
can swing either way depending on the circumstances.
This past week the primary unusual for us in that our vote
really does matter deciding the candidate for either party and you can vote in
either. Which means as a Republican you
could have “Felt the Bern” and voted for the socialist Vermont Senator Bernie
Sanders to sabotage Hillary Clinton. A Democrat could have voted for any of the
GOP candidates to get the easiest to defeat in November. Either way you can
make a difference in Virginia this year.
that the Republican primary got 2, 517 voters, while the Democrats only had 739
voters, which is not a good sign for the latter in November in Patrick County.
In Virginia, over one million voted Republican with almost 800,000 voting
the years, I have studied the voting patterns of Patrick County just for fun.
Usually, the most conservative precincts are in the Dan River District close to
very Republican Carroll County to the west. Usually, Patrick Springs is the
most liberal precinct by who receives votes.
Candidates who won Patrick County since I started voting are Reagan in 1980
(4297 to 2382 for Carter with John Anderson getting 105) and 1984, where he won
the most lopsided Electoral College victory in history. Both George Bushes won
the county in 1988, 1992, 2000, and 2004. Romney and McCain beat President
Obama in 2008 and 2012. Bob Dole beat Bill Clinton in 1996 (3547 to 2301),
which might surprise some.
Virginia voted for Nixon three
times 1968, 1972, and 1960. “I Like Ike” was the familiar refrain in Virginia
in the 1950s, but before then Virginia was part of the solid South going for
Truman and Franklin Roosevelt in the 1940s and 1930s reflecting, no doubt, the
influence of the Byrd Democratic Party machine.
We are Democratic Republic and we
decide who is President by way of the Electoral College, which means each state
gets a number of electors (13 in 2016), which I believe is based on the number
in the House of Representatives, based on population and Senators (two each for
the state) in the U. S. Congress.
the 2016 election coming in November, there is a scenario where it could come
down to Virginia. I went to the website www.270towin.com
and it is possible that the Democrats could have 263 electoral college votes and
the Republicans could have 262 votes with only the 13 votes of Virginia left to
decide who is the next President of the United States. While there is little
doubt that Patrick County will go for the Republican, Virginia might not. So,
your vote matters in 2016 if you live in Virginia. Don’t let your future be
decided by someone else voting when you can make that decision yourself. VOTE!
Here is more information about the Electoral College
Welcome to Historian, Author, and Publisher Thomas D. "Tom" Perry's Free State Of Patrick Blog! This is where I discuss historical and book projects I am working on and anything that crosses my mind Visit my website to learn more and hopefully to purchase my books. http://www.freestateofpatrick.com
I write non-fiction books about history along the North Carolina and Virginia border. I was born in Mount Airy, North Carolina, the basis of Mayberry as Andy Griffith was born there too. I grew up in Ararat, Patrick County, Virginia, about two miles from where Civil War General James Ewell Brown "Jeb" Stuart was born and raised. I worked to preserve his birthplace in my hometown in the 1990s.
I graduated from Patrick County High School, Surry Community College, and Virginia Tech, where I studied under Civil War authority James I. Robertson, Jr. After working with computers for twenty-five years, I started my own publishing company. I travel the country selling and speaking on subjects related to my books.
I publish friends books with over fifty titles in print now after a decade of work in the field from children's books, politics, poetry, and everything under the sun. Please contact me at the email address below if you have a work you want to publish. firstname.lastname@example.org